The US healthcare system is woefully inadequate from several perspectives. A silver lining of the COVID-19 fiasco is that it exposed several of these systemic failures. To make this discussion somewhat digestible, I will focus on the FDA, and its Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) and Approval processes.
The root problem with both of these, is that although the FDA is pretending to the public that these processes are based on genuine Science, both have become corrupted by political science. They get away with this ruse as 99% of the public are not scientists, and the FDA bureaucracy has purposefully obfuscated what’s transpiring with misleading terminology (like risk, efficacy, and safety). Additionally, to promote political agendas, the FDA changes important definitions, has an unhealthy relationship with parties they are supposed to be regulating, and has abandoned key elements of its mission statement and statutory obligations.
With the goal of getting back on track (i.e., being more scientific), the FDA needs a major overhaul of the EUA and Approval processes, particularly for: a) Vaccines [especially when a reasonable therapeutic is available], and b) Therapeutics [e.g., remdesivir and molnupiravir should not have received EUAs]. Here are my recommendations:
1 - The FDA needs to thoroughly revamp its concept and communication of efficacy, e.g.:
a) A requirement that all RCTs (and subsequently the FDA) publicize Absolute Risk — preferably, exclusively. (See here and here.).
Note 1: This is consistent with an important FDA advisory publication. A key conclusion (see page 60) is that the public is: “unduly influenced when risk information is presented using a relative risk approach; this can result in suboptimal decisions. Thus, an absolute risk format should be used.”
Note 2: The CONSORT 2010 Statement —Updated Guidelines for Reporting Parallel Group Randomized Trials states: “… presentation of both absolute and relative effect sizes is recommended…”
b) The FDA should define a new term (e.g., net effectiveness). It will not only include Absolute Risk but also give some weight to other serious medical considerations like lethality, contagiousness, and side effects.
c) A minimum net effectiveness should be required (e.g., 50%) to be granted an EUA.
d) If after an EUA is granted, subsequent scientific studies indicate that the net effectiveness appears to have gone below the minimum required, then the FDA will promptly have a formal public hearing of their EUA. If the conclusion of the hearing is that there is a reasonable likelihood that the net effectiveness now appears to be below the minimum required, the FDA should immediately revoke their EUA.
e) The FDA must be prohibited from granting an EUA based on a subset of any RCT results (e.g., like here).
f) The FDA’s Fact Sheet for Healthcare Providers include a warning statement like:
“This EUA was granted after a very limited scientific assessment of this product for this medical condition. As a result, the FDA has a low confidence level regarding the efficacy or long-term safety of this product for this condition.”
g) The FDA’s Fact Sheet for Healthcare Providers include a warning statement that this is an experimental EUA product, so it is not appropriate for it to be mandated.
h) The FDA should prohibit any EUA recipient from advertising that their product is “safe and effective,” as neither has been scientifically adequately determined.
2 - Considering that the majority of US adults have at least one chronic disease, as a minimum the FDA needs to meaningfully address this reality by the following:
a) A requirement that RCTs must include a representative sample of chronic illness subjects in both testing and placebo groups for products seeking EUA or Approvals.
b) In ALL cases where the above was not done, the FDA’s Fact Sheet for Healthcare Providers must specifically include a warning statement (necessary for informed consent) that testing was inadequately done on subjects who had a wide variety of other chronic ailments, so the consequences to recipients with those conditions are unknown, and may worsen (including death) when taking this EUA product.
3 - The FDA should be obligated to promptly develop and publicize regulations for Informed Consent regarding the public’s taking of EUAs. These should be comparable to the FDA’s informed consent conditions for clinical trial subjects (which includes many pages of conditions and caveats: see here). EUA product recipients should effectively be considered to be clinical trial subjects.
4 - Regarding off-label use (particularly in an emergency), the FDA should:
a) Allow medical practitioners to prescribe an off-label therapeutic for any condition when the medical practitioner believes that there is reasonable scientific evidence of efficacy. (Note: The FDA’s website states that this is already the case, but the COVID-19 situation — e.g., with IVM and HCQ — indicates otherwise.)
b) Be prohibited from identifying an off-label therapeutic as not acceptable for a medical practitioner to prescribe for a condition, where the medical practitioner determines that there is reasonable scientific evidence of safety and effectiveness. (This misleading FDA webpage convolutes self-medicating and/or humans using veterinary products [never advisable], with a medical practitioner prescribing IVM.)
c) Establish an EUA procedure for repurposed (esp. non-patented) pharmaceuticals, where they temporarily receive the FDA’s conditional blessing, while more comprehensive scientific testing is conducted. Not doing this would appear to be contrary to this statutory directive.
d) Have sizable funds specifically allocated and available to quickly pay for independent RCT testing of off-label options that have reasonable scientific evidence of their effectiveness and safety for a repurposed medical use. (See 21 USC Chapter 9, Subchapter V: §355g. Utilizing real-world evidence.)
e) Have a Consumer Advocate who does nothing but promote non-patented, re-purposed drugs to the FDA for review (especially in an emergency).
Yes, there are other concerns with the FDA, but if these changes could be properly made, they would be revolutionary. If you have any suggested improvements to this list, please post them below in the Comments. I will be passing them on to RFKjr.
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Thanks for covering this FDA issue. As to my thinking, it is a self serving agency, which takes bribes to pass products that have not been adequately tested. if it had been held responsible for some of the disastrous drugs it has permitted to be marketed...perhaps it would have been more effective. it receives taxpayer financial support, but its greed aspect wants more!
John...excellent thinking and recommendations. I hope you can get your thinking to the Trump administration as well as RFK Jr. I've sent it on to my contacts in the administration.
Don Runkle